We’ve rolled into Talladega which can be cantankerous and mysterious since NASCAR began using restrictor plates to slow the speeds of the cars. Multi-car drafts encouraged pack racing and as the teams built stronger engines with more horsepower, NASCAR was forced to take increasingly drastic measures to keep them south of the 200 mph mark. That meant the packs got bigger and the risk of the Big One increased.
Finally, NASCAR hit on something truly unique to some fans; by reshaping the bumpers and bringing in the car of tomorrow they eliminated three-car drafts and any number greater than that. For the past several plate races, drivers have been forced into two-car tandems. Because of its novelty, this style of racing was no more predictable than one in which multi-car accidents were frequent, but slowly a pattern has begun to emerge. With the reduction of multi-car accidents, the cream can rise to the top with greater frequency. The middles stages of the race might be totally incomprehensible as tandems surge and fade, but as drivers figure out where they want to be with 10, five, and one lap remaining, the faces up front are starting to look familiar. And with the two-car tandems it got a lot harder finding our picks for this weekend’s race; but somehow I have them!
Going into Talladega the points have been the closest we have seen since the start of the Chase. And fate’s intervention, the odds are good that the points battle will be just as tight leaving Talladega as it is entering the track. Harvick, Edwards got off to a slow start on this track type and Edwards either suffered crash damage or engine failure in 13 of his first 19 attempts at Talladega and Daytona combined. On the heels of those disappointments, he logged eight consecutive incident-free races that produced a pair of top-fives, five top-10s, and a worst finish of only 17th. This summer, he crashed again at Daytona, but the preponderance of his recent record recommends starting the No. 99.
Kevin Harvick is another driver who gets our nod as another favorite for this weekend. At the start of his career, he was not particularly strong on the plate tracks, but that all changed in 2010. Streaks on this track type are incredibly hard to maintain, but Harvick swept throught the first three plate races with a seventh in the Daytona 500 and back-to-back victories in the spring Talladega and summer Daytona races. The two-car tandems that began in earnest last fall in this race could have derailed him, but he finished second to teammate Clint Bowyer in a photo-finish when the field was frozen because of a last-lap crash. A blown engine in this year’s Great American Race has kept him from being perfect, but he snapped back to finish fifth and seventh in the two most recent plate races.
These two drivers are not only fighting for the win; but they are fighting for the points lead. Talladega will either make it or break it for both these Chase drivers.
A couple drivers that we haven’t talked about in a while would be Joey Logano and Trevor Bayne. Young and full of fight these two drives are our picks for the dark horses this weekend at Talladega.
The plate tracks play by their own rules, so the struggles of the No. 20 team this season cannot be held against it at Talladega. Young Guns are not supposed to be good values on this track because veterans don’t want to draft with them, but Logano proved his worth in his first outing at Talladega. He finished ninth in the 2009 spring race and has failed to crack the top 10 only once during his career there. An equally strong record at Charlotte last week produced another top-15, so Logano appears to be capable on tracks that he likes.
And what makes this interesting is that the #20 and the #21 has a little tussle at Charlotte so why not add they to the mix of things? No one forgets what happened in February do they? If so, Trevor Bayne won his first ever Daytona 500 in the debut of the 2 car tandem and the kid loves pushing the veterans. He did just that the majority of the Daytona 500 and then a caution changed his life forever putting him to the lead and winning. Trevor Bayne knows how to work the two car tandem beautifully and we look to see him do just that again this weekend.
When you think of Hendricks Motor Sports no one thinks underdogs, unless talking about Dale Jr. But they are just that this weekend. In order to keep their Chase hopes alive, Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon need to find a way to stay out of the “Big One” , avoid the troubles on pit road, and manage a Top 5 finish at least.
Jimmie Johnson got thrown through a loop last weekend and he dropped to eighth after wrecking at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Despite tumbling down the points list, Johnson is 35 points behind. Jimmie does know what it takes to tame the wild ride at Talladega, though.
Jeff Gordon is one of the best at winning…12 Cup victories combined at Daytona and Talladega — not including numerous exhibition and qualification wins — he stands head and shoulders above anyone entered in this week’s race. His last plate win came in the fall 2007 race at Talladega, but on the heels of that he went 10 races without earning another top-10 and only one top-15. Most of the reason for his misfortune in those years was a proclivity for crashing. Recently, he’s improved with four of his past five races on the restrictor-plate superspeedways ending in top-10s, but so long as there are restarts in the coming races, he has to be considered a wild card at best. Double-file restarts have been his Achilles’ heel and last week’s accident in heavy traffic underscores how inadequate he has been immediately following a green flag.
Does the “Big One” collect half the Chase field or will they play it “safe” and ride around in the back all day? Will a non-Chase driver spoil the hopes and take the win at ‘Dega? All this questions and more will be answered very soon! Remember to pull on those belts real tight because this will be one wild ride not to miss!
Grading 2018′s New Driver/ Team Pairings – Alex Bowman/ Hendrick Motorsports
Undeniably the apple of an entire nation’s eye for over two decades, Dale Earnhardt Jr poignantly announced in the spring of 2017 he would step away from driving in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series at the end of the 2017 season.
Once the initial shock value wore off, reality set in. Who could possibly fill the shoes of the sport’s most popular driver? Dale Jr’s lasting impression on legions of fans young and old is unparalleled. Ultimately the conundrum of the century would centre around who might fill the gargantuan shoes little E would leave behind.
Dale Jr’s departure from Hendrick Motorsports left one the sport’s most coveted rides up for grabs. Immediately the rumour mill was set ablaze with potential candidates loyal Dale Jr supporters fancied. Following three months of intense speculation, Rick Hendrick would reveal Dale Jr’s replacement in late July 2017.
Next man up for the #88 team a tall lanky fella from Tucson Arizona. Chances are y’all probably remember him as the kid that subbed for Dale Jr while he recovered from concussion-like symptoms that kept him from the seat of the Nationwide Chevrolet in the fall of 2016.
Certainly no stranger to the Monster Energy Cup Series (Made 81 Career starts from 2014-2016), Alex Bowman makes his triumphed return as a full time driver on the circuit for the first time in nearly two years. Driving the #88 car for Hendrick Motorsports axiomatically elevates Bowman from enchanting underdog to proverbial impact player. No longer a low man on the totem pole expeditious results at HMS would give credence to an emerging young star hoping for a rebirth following past failures with BK Racing & Tommy Baldwin Racing.
Thrust into a precarious position at the age of 21, Alex Bowman exhibited incredible poise in the face of adversity. Visibly Alex was not equipped for the competitive environment that cup racing bestowed upon him back in 2014. One quality season (2013 – 2 top 5’s, 6 top 10’s 2 poles, 11th in the driver standings) in the Xfinity Series cannot enumerate impending success on the other side.
Instead of licking his wounds Bowman bided his time wisely eventually earning the opportunity to sub for Dale Jr in the fall of 2016. What could have easily morphed into catastrophic gaffe #3 for Bowman positively altered his career saving him from infinite anonymity.
In the 10 races (2016) Alex piloted the #88 car he made quite an accounting for himself (3 top 10’s, 1 pole) earning the respect and confidence of both Mr. Hendrick and Dale Jr.
The simple formula for success in 2018 relies squarely on the shoulders of Alexander Bowman.
Bowman’s familiarity with crew chief Greg Ives and the entire #88 team perpetuates some of the chemistry established back in 2016. A contingent of smart fans out there including myself firmly believe Alex Bowman was on his way to capturing the checked flag at his home track(Phoenix) in November of 2016. On this day Bowman dazzled, starting the race from the pole ultimately leading 194 laps on his way to a career best 6th place finish.
Even though the former self-proclaimed bad luck Bowman left the desert without the checked flag, indisputably he walked away a winner. Bowman’s courageous showing converted the cynics into believers. Without this fine performance in the bag Bowman could have found himself easily lost in the shuffle never to be heard from again.
Perseverance spearheaded the rise of Bowman mania. The whimsical wave of momentum Bowman’s been on since that race at Phoenix spilled over into 2017. Bowman turned heads in February finishing third in the Clash at Daytona, once again piloting the #88 Nationwide Chevrolet. He would also capture his first career Xfinity Series victory at Charlotte in the fall of 2017 driving for Chip Ganassi.
Perceptibly this young buck is completely equipped for the fate that awaits him once the green flag drops on the 2018 Monster Energy Cup Series at Daytona in February.
Rick Hendrick has all the confidence in the world in Bowman’s capabilities. Mr. H could have taken the high road and hired an established veteran driver, instead trusting Bowman’s youthful exuberance lets the entire racing world know he’s committed for the long haul.
Alex Bowman has the credentials to resuscitate Rick Hendrick’s anaemic #88 team from the ashes. Fresh blood can unite an entire nation of fans that are starving for a breath of fresh air.
Don’t Be Dale Jr, Be Alex Bowman. That’s paramount.
Alex Bowman has an entire nation on his side. So watcha gonna do when Bowmanmania runs wild on you?
Final grade – B
Photo courtesy of Autoweek
Grading 2018′s New Driver/ Team Pairings – Aric Almirola/SHR
Following a disappointing 2017 campaign (29 starts, o wins, 3top 5’s, 6 top 10’s 29th in the driver standings) the former Fresh Prince of Tampa made perhaps the most difficult decision of his racing career leaving RPM, a place he’s called home for the past six seasons.
Despite never setting the world ablaze in their six years together Almirola & RPM collected (1 victory, 10 top 5 finishes, 30 top 10 finishes, 1 pole, 1 Playoff appearance 2014) disguisedly respectable numbers for a driver/team combination absolutely, nobody had ever given a fighting chance back in 2012.
Gradually as time progressed Almirola found his groove in the #43 car, collecting a dramatic victory at the mecca of racing, Daytona in July of 2014. The win would be the first of Aric Almirola’s career in the Monster Energy Cup series and the first for RPM since 2012. Winning at Daytona elevated Almirola in to the playoff picture that season (2014) ultimately finishing 16th in the final driver standings following a first-round exit.
Qualifying for the playoffs in 2014 generated new life into both RPM & Aric Almirola. Hitting their stride when it mattered most Almirola would once again solidified himself as a playoff contender in 2015.
Finishing inside the top 20 in 19 of the first 26 races of the season. Aric Almirola entered the final race of the regular season at Richmond in September firmly inside the playoff picture sitting 16th in the driver standings.
Notwithstanding his courageous efforts in the closing moments of the race, the Fresh Prince of Tampa would fall one lap shy of producing back to back playoff seasons. Finishing 4th in the race dropped him into 17th place in the driver standings one position short of making it back atop center stage with the sports elite drivers.
The cyclical nature of the business would have a profound impact on Richard Petty Motorsports over the next two seasons. Incapable of replicating prior successes RPM regressed considerably. A bevy of changes within the organization ranging from crew chief changes to downsizing the King’s multi car operation into a single car team for 2017 left the door wide open for Aric Almirola to take his talents elsewhere.
Aric Almirola and longtime Richard Petty Motorsports sponsor Smithfield foods are on the move for 2018. Both are set to take over the #10 car at Stewart Haas Racing.
Stewart Haas Racing made an official announcement in mid-November, welcoming Almirola into the fold after weeks of speculation regarding the future of the #10 car. Even with championship caliber drivers on the open market SHR was one hundred percent committed to signing Mr. Almirola once he became a free agent at the end of the summer.
Crew Chief Billy Scott will remain with the team in 2018, his third overall with SHR. Scott was hired in December of 2015 to work with then driver of the ##10 car Danica Patrick in hopes of turning her racing career around following flashes of brilliance on the track the previous season in 2014. With Billy Scott at the helm Danica would only record 1 top ten finish in three seasons. Vainly the Danica/ Billy Scott experiment lost its gleam.
Smithfield’s involvement is paramount for a team that found itself overwhelmed by sponsorship woes last season. For Almirola having Smithfield grace the hood of the #10 car provides him with a sense of familiarity. Both driver and sponsor have been together through thick and thin for the past 6 years. Smithfield’s undying loyalty to Aric Almirola is incredibly remarkable.
Joining a championship winning organization for the first time in his 11-year Cup career undoubtedly elevates Almirola’s confidence beyond any fragment of time prior to his arrival at SHR.
The simple fact Tony Stewart believes whole heartedly in Almirola’s credentials speaks volumes for a driver most racing fan have failed to connect with.
Perhaps the most integral component of Almirola’s future success at SHR relies heavily on establishing a firm working relationship with championship winning teammates Kevin Harvick and Kurt Busch. Both whom have experienced a career renaissance since joining Stewart Haas Racing in 2014.
Taking a few pointers from two of the sport’s finest drivers can only make Almirola better on race day.
Unquestionably, the addition of Aric Almirola transforms the #10 car from a middle of the pack team into a team that will most certainly contend for a coveted playoff position in 2018. Having tasted bittersweet playoff glory in the past, Almirola knows he’s been given a second chance to make a profound impression on the entire Monster Energy cup series garage.
Although he most likely won’t compete for the championship in 2018, Aric Almirola’s number one goal in year one with SHR is establishing the #10 car as a legit playoff hopeful for the next several years. Building a successful campaign in 2018 automatically gives credence to Tony Stewart’s unconventional driver choice.
While the jury is still out on Aric Almirola following a couple of dismal seasons, I’m totally convinced this is the best possible situation for both a team and driver in dire need of a positive transformation.
Yes, Aric Almirola is a minor upgrade from Danica Patrick as driver of the #10 car, but under no circumstances can we expect a career year from the Fresh Prince of Tampa in 2018.
The pieces are finally fitting, but the puzzle won’t be completed until 2019.
Final grade C+
Photo courtesy of MRN
Recap of the Go Bowling 400
For the second time in as many races at Kansas Speedway, Martin Truex Jr flexed his muscle and totally outclassed his comrades leading 104 laps of the scheduled 267 run on Saturday night.
Positive karma was certainly on the side of NASCAR’s resident Jersey boy on Saturday night as he snatched victory from the jaws of defeat in the closing laps of the race. After letting one slip away at Kansas last season there’s no way Truex Jr would be denied on this night. Once Martin finally cleared Ryan Blaney who arguably had the fastest car of the evening on lap 249 there was no going back. The race was in the bag despite a few late restarts that Turex Jr ultimately controlled down the final stretch.
Saturday night’s victory was the seventh since 2015 for the powerhouse combination of Martin Truex Jr and Furniture Row Racing. Who are clearly primed for another deep playoff run once the chase starts in the fall of 2017.
While the Furniture Row Racing team celebrated in the winner’s circle the entire NASCAR community was overcome with deep despondency. Overshadowing Furniture Row’s jubilation was one of the most vicious wrecks in recent memory. On lap 201 Joey Logano’s car got loose and sent Danica Patrick hard into the wall in turn 1, in the process collection an oncoming Aric Almirola. The Richard Petty Motorsports driver would take the hardest lick of the three drivers involved in the wreckage.
After several tense moments Almirola with the assistance of the Kansas Speedway safety crew would be cut from his car, and air lifted to a local medical facility. Richard Petty Motorsports released a statement early Sunday morning that Aric Almirola suffered a compression fracture of his T5 vertebra. He returned home to North Carolina Sunday and his driving status at this time has yet to be determined.
As for Danica Patrick, Saturday night’s carnage was the cherry on top of a melted sundae that is the queen of speeds hellacious 2017 campaign.
Heading into next weekend’s Coca Cola 600, Danica Patrick sits 33rd in the driver standings, making this the worst start to her five year Monster Energy cup career.
Danica’s slow start has many speculating 2017 could indeed be the final year we see the popular driver turns laps on Sunday afternoons.
One of these weekends Ryan Blaney is going to put it all together and capture his first career Monster Energy Cup series victory. If it weren’t for bad luck Ryan Blaney would have no luck at all in 2017. With that being said the second generation driver put some of the bad karma behind him at Kansas Speedway on Saturday night. Ryan Blaney looked untouchable for a better part of Saturday night’s Go Bowling 400 before Martin Turex Jr passed him and put of bow on the race.
Moral victories don’t count however bringing home a 4th place finish after several weeks of unfortunate misfires is a step in the right direction for the Wood Bros and young Ryan Blaney.
Momentum breathes confidence.
Despite the fact Blaney should have scored 3 victories by my account this season, putting these failures in the back of the ol memory bank makes this guy one of the most intriguing drivers to keep an eye on as the summer months roll on.
Although Ricky Stenhouse Jr failed in his bid to go back to back fresh of the heels of his first career cup win, he and Roush Fenway Racing teammate Trevor Bayne continue their meteoric rise to the top of the heap in the Monster Energy cup series.
The Roush Fenway Racing drivers finished 10th & 11th respectively in Saturday night’s Go Bowling 400. If the chase stared today both drivers would be firmly in the thick of the title picture.
While Stenhouse Jr is working on a career year ( 1 win, 3 top 5’s, 5 top 10’s, 1 pole) though the first 11 races, his teammate Trevor Bayne continues his vast improvement finishing inside the top 20 in 8 of the 11 races run this season.
Daniel Suarez is one incredible driver. Is he not?
The 2016 Xfinity series champion continues his march towards the winners circle just 11 races into his cup series career.
Suarez tied his career best finish of 7th on Saturday night.
In a time when Joe Gibbs Racing looks completely out of sync, Daniel Suarez represents a beacon of hope for an organization in desperate need of a pick me up.
Despite being unexpectedly trust into the role as driver of the #19 Toyota weeks before the Daytona 500 and working with two different crew chiefs this season Suarez has completely shattered all expectations while looking like a seasoned pro instead of a green horn.
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