(To avoid any confusion, Denver Broncos quarterback Trevor Siemian isn’t injured. My title is merely a play on words from the SNL skit “Simma Down Now”)
It’s week four in the NFL and the first bye week has arrived. The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles have the week off, and some Fantasy owners need temporary replacements.
As always, The Wire is here to help. By now you should know the drill. I provide 10 trending players owned in 45 percent or less of all leagues (sometimes 46-49 percent) for your consideration.
This week’s wire has three tight ends, two running backs, two wide receivers, one quarterback, a defense, and a kicker.
Trevor Siemian (Denver Broncos QB 19 Percent Owned)
With three starts under his belt now, Siemian has Denver Broncos fans saying “Osweiler-Schmosweiler, Siemian is our guy!”. And after his 312 yard four touchdown passing performance against the Cincinnati Bengals, it might be time for Siemian to be your guy.
Siemian has looked poised in the pocket and typically throws a nice spiral to the likes of Demaryius Thomas, Emmanuel Sanders, Virgil Green, and even running back C.J. Anderson. With these offensive weapons at his disposal, and the peace of mind the Denver Defense provides, Siemian is worth an add in all leagues.
If you have either Aaron Rodgers or Carson Wentz out this week, or need a change of pace at QB, get Siemian while you still can.
Zach Miller (Chicago Bears TE 49 Percent Owned)
Miller bear-ly makes this list at 49 percent owned (ok that was a terrible pun), but if he is still available add him now. The seventh year TE boomed in week three scoring two touchdowns on eight catches for 78 yards against the Dallas Cowboys.
Appearing to be Brian Hoyer’s security blanket, Miller could put up similar numbers against the Detroit Lions. Detroit has given up the most fantasy points to opposing tight ends (an average of 17 fantasy points) so far.
Miller may only be a TE2 moving forward, but this Sunday he’s a promising TE1.
Rishard Matthews (Tennessee Titans WR 26 Percent Owned)
Matthews hasn’t quite clicked with Marcus Mariota yet, and starting him against the Houston Texans defense is risky. In Fantasyland, though, all it takes is a 40 yard touchdown reception and Matthews earns your team a solid 10 points.
With Titans TE Delaine Walker (hamstring) still sidelined, and the Texans J.J. Watt (back) out, Matthews has a chance to put up numbers this Sunday.
Realistically though, Matthews is still rotating with Andre Johnson and Harry Douglas behind Tajae Sharpe. Making Matthews addable only in deeper 12-14 team leagues (both standard and PPR).
Cameron Artis-Payne (Carolina Panthers RB 25 Percent Owned)
Artis-Payne lead the Carolina running back committee with 12 touches, but did little else against a ruthless Minnesota Vikings defense. Jonathan Stewart remains sidelined this week for the Panthers, making CAP an RB3 against a shaky Atlanta Falcons defense this weekend.
CAP could see goal line work and be used in the passing game. Meaning a seven to 10 point performance isn’t out of the realm of possibility.
If you’re in a 12-14 team league and looking to roll the dice with your flex position, pickup CAP this week.
Hunter Henry (San Diego Chargers TE 12 Percent Owned)
The only way you won’t find Henry on the waiver wire this week is if you’re playing in a dynasty league. The rookie TE out of Arkansas caught five passes for 76 yards in week three with the absence of Antonio Gates (hamstring).
Henry, and the rest of the Chargers offense, has a mouth watering matchup against the New Orleans Saints. NOLA has allowed an average of 32 points to be scored against them, meaning Rivers could find Henry for a score or two this Sunday.
Projected to score between seven-10 fantasy points, Henry is a solid streaming option should Gates sit out again.
Cameron Brate (Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Seven Percent Owned)
So much for a resurgence by Austin Sefarian-Jenkins (recently released by the Bucs). Brate is the TE in Tampa to own for Fantasy, as he put up a two TD catch performance against the Los Angeles Rams this past Sunday.
At 6′-5″-235lbs Brate can continue to be a big red zone target for Jameis Winston. Though the Buccaneers have been boom or bust offensively thus far.
Nevertheless, you could do worse than Brate if you’re streaming at TE this week.
Wendell Smallwood (Philadelphia Eagles RB Six Percent Owned)
I wouldn’t normally suggest adding a player who’s on a bye week. But Smallwood’s 17 carries for 79 yards and a score in week three were hard to ignore.
With Ryan Mathews (ankle) sidelined and the Eagles large lead against the Steelers Smallwood saw more work out of the backfield. And he took full advantage of the opportunity. Philadelphia Eagles first year head coach Doug Pederson gave plenty of praise to the rookie runner:
“He’s the same type of runner that we felt he was coming out of college and what we saw in preseason,” said Doug Pederson. “He’s a big, powerful guy. He’s a downhill guy. He’s a one-cut runner. He did a great job for us.” (Quote per Jimmy Kempski/Philly Voice)
Philadelphia’s backfield situation is worth monitoring. Pederson reportedly plans on using a committee even after Mathews returns. Smallwood could become chairman of said committee. He is worth a roster spot in all formats.
Adam Humphries (Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Four Percent Owned)
Reading this players name you probably asked yourself “who?”. Humphries isn’t a must add fantasy asset, but the second year wide-out is worth a spot on your watch list.
Humphries (18 catches for 201 yards) is currently out-receiving Vincent Jackson (nine catches for 99 yards) and has seen his receptions and yardage go up each week so far. While not a red zone threat, Humphries could provide WR4/WR5 upside in PPR leagues.
Now that you know his name, keep an eye on this one.
Josh Lambo (San Diego Chargers K 11 Percent Owned)
Lambo, like his other Bolts teammates, has a favorable matchup this week. The Saints defense has given up an average of nine fantasy points to opposing kickers. Lambo, who is averaging nine fantasy points per game, is projected to put up nine points (possibly 10-12) this Sunday.
If you’re a Mason Crosby or Caleb Sturgis owner, take Lambo for a spin, you’ll be glad you did.
Detroit Lions D/ST (Opponent Chicago Bears/ Six Percent Owned)
Admittedly the Lions defense hasn’t scored many fantasy points this season. But with a matchup against the Hoyer led Bears, and a banged up backfield, there’s bound to be turnovers and sack opportunities. Not to mention Chicago is only averaging 15 points per game offensively.
Projected to score seven fantasy points, this unit has 9-10pt potential and is worth streaming this week.
Honorable Mention: DeAndre Washington (Oakland Raiders RB), Markus Wheaton (Pittsburgh Steelers WR), Danny Amendola (New England Patriots WR), Jack Doyle (Indianapolis Colts TE), Paul Perkins (New York Giants RB).
(all player profile pictures courtesy of NFL.com)
Week five will be the first major bye week for Fantasy owners. A total of four teams will be out (Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Saints, and Seattle Seahawks). Check back with The Wire again next week for all your roster replacement needs.
Until then, happy adding and best of luck.
5 Fantasy Players To Roll the Dice On Week 1
Fantasy football is all about staying healthy, match-ups and a little bit of luck if you want to win your league. Remember, nobody at work wants to hear about who you drafted in the 8th round, (fantasy players included). One thing you can control however is doing your research and trying to take advantage of match-ups.
It is a given that guys like Laveon Bell, D. Johnson and Odell Beckham are going to be must starts every week. It is the tier two guys you really want to maximize. With that being said here are 5 players you might want to have active this week for your fantasy lineup.
Ben Roethlisburger, Pittsburgh Quarterback – Match-up: @ Cleveland Browns
Big Ben has the best receiver in the league as well as Le’Veon Bell back in the fold and they are going up against a Cleveland defense who just traded away their best player in the secondary. You can count on the usual suspects to eat but if you grabbed Ben in those later rounds he might be a sneaky play week 1 against a defense that will be less than stellar.
Kareem Hunt, Kansas City Running Back – Match-up: @ New England Patriots
New England will most likely win this game but look for Hunt to have every opportunity to make plays for the Chiefs. He is Andy Reid’s guy for now and in the past guys like LeSean McCoy, Jamaal Charles have benefited from being the guy for Reid. He can catch out the backfield which makes him a duel threat even in a PPR league. He’s got a low center of gravity which makes him hard to take down. Put Hunt in your lineup this week.
Kyle Rudolph, Minnesota Tight End – Match-up: vs New Orleans Saints
Last year Rudolph had 128 targets and ranked top four in receptions, yards, touchdowns and end zone targets (11). Rudolph finished second at the position in fantasy points. He is going up against a weak New Orleans secondary so do be surprised if Rudolph grabs a touchdown or two.
Stefon Diggs, Minnesota Wide Receiver – Match-up: vs New Orleans Saints
Last season the Saints had the worst pass defense in the entire NFL (yes there seems to be a pattern here). Diggs is the #1 guy at receiver coming out of camp so look for him to have plenty of targets against a less than stellar secondary. He does have big play potential and two 13 catch games on his resume from last year. I would rate Diggs as a must start this week.
Los Angeles Rams – Match-up vs Indianapolis Colts
Without googling tell who is going to be at QB for the Colts this Sunday? … Exactly. We don’t know either. Furthermore, no disrespect to Frank Gore but is the starting tailback for this offense and this is year 13 for him. The numbers don’t really look good for this Colts offense. So yes, this post isn’t so much about the Rams defense as it is the lack of Colts offense. Defenses are a dime a dozen, pick the Rams up and see what the do for you this weekend.
Fantasy Football Mock Draft: 12 Team PPR
It is almost time for the Fantasy Football drafts to take place and many players are reading articles and doing mock drafts to develop their strategy.
We decided to do a mock draft and give you some insight as to some of the strategy that we use.
We decided to do a 12 team PPR mock draft.
If you are a beginner PPR simply means players get points per reception when they add up the scoring.
Every strategy is different based on where you are drafting and we randomly got selected to pick 12th.
Picking at the end of the first round is both a blessing and a curse because you get two picks back to back but after that it seems like you have to wait an eternity to pick again.
If you find out that you have the 12th and 13th picks your first two selections better hit.
You can’t afford to miss on either two.
Round 1 & 2 … Strategy: Best player available
At this position you can forget about Laveon Bell, David Johnson, Antonio Brown or any of those top 10 guys. Fill your que with players that are typically available around that area. (Jordy Nelson, Devonte Freeman, Melvin Gordon, AJ Green, Ty Hilton).
My pick: Demarco Murray … Jay Ajayi
I decided to go ahead and grab both my starting RB’s. There was still some good pass catchers available but if I focus on that the next round I should still be able to get some quality.
Round 2/3 … Strategy: Best Pass Catcher available.
In the meantime since I have to wait for the snake to come all the way back I’m looking at my targets and filling my que.
Never just wait for the time to go by, always be working the draft pool.
My picks: Golden Tate .. Jordan Reed
I was hoping Brandin Cooks would be here but he got snatched up right before my pick.
Tate is in a very pass happy offense and caught 91 balls last year. In a PPR league such as this he is a good pick for a WR1.
Reed was a top 3 tight end and grabbing a guy like him is just as good as having a WR2 at this spot.
Round 3/4 … Strategy: Best player available.
My picks: Matt Ryan … Brandon Marshall
I typically wait to draft my QB but guys like Brady, Rodgers, and Brees if they are still there in the 3rd or 4th round I don’t think it’s a bad idea to jump for them.
Brandon Marshall will be opposite Beckham in New York but he is proven vet and as a WR2 he seems to be a solid pick.
Round 5/6 … Strategy: Finish out starters / look for depth or handcuffs.
My picks: D.McFadden … Randall Cobb
McFadden will be a starter for the best O-line for the first few weeks of the season.
He should make a good RB3 or even a flex if he gets hot.
Cobb is coming off a 60 catch 4 TD season. If the match-up is right he might be a good flex play on a given week.
Round 6/7 … Strategy: Depth
My picks: Doug Martin … Cameron Brate
Ok these are my homer picks. Admittedly I am a Bucs fan but I think these are quality picks for this round.
Martin will miss the first three games but if he gets that starting job back and holds on to it then I just grabbed a starting running back in the 6th round. Brate will be a solid TE2 this year.
I don’t expect another 8 TD’s but if he gives you 6 that will be good quality at that position.
Round 8/9 … Strategy: Depth
My picks: Phillip Rivers … A. Bolden
Rivers is as about as solid a backup as you can ask for. He is as consistent as they come. Bolden is a bit old but he should still be a serviceable WR.
With Sammy Watkins gone in Buffalo there might be plenty of opportunity for him.
Round 10/11 … Strategy: Best player available
My picks: J. Whitten .. Mohammad Sanu
These are just picks for depth. At this point you just want football players that you wouldn’t mind sticking in on a bye week.
Round 12/13 .. Strategy: Kicker/Defense
I’m a believer of you always save your last two spots for your defense and your kicker. Reason is because nobody ever said that their kicker and defensive team carried them to a fantasy football championship.
My picks: Rams D/ST …. S. Janikowski
I don’t put much research into kickers or defense but I know the Rams have some playmakers and Janikowski has always had a strong leg. That’s good enough for me.
So to recap here is what my starting roster should look like day 1.
QB – Matt Ryan
RB – Demarco Murray
RB – J. Ajayi
WR – Golden Tate
WR – Brandon Marshall
TE – Jordan Reed
FLEX- D. McFadden / R. Cobb / D. Martin (depending on the weekly matchup)
D/ST – Rams
K – Janikowski
QB – P. Rivers
WR – A. Boldin
TE – J. Whitten
WR – M.Sanu
2016 NFL Season Week 17 Pick ‘Em
We are finally here. Week 17. The end of the NFL season and the beginning of the playoffs.
In many ways, other than week 1, week 17 is the hardest to predict. With many of the playoff positions already determined many teams will be featuring backups or young talent in an effort to preserve their stars for the playoffs or to hasten the impending rebuild.
In fact, only a few games this week have any intrinsic value, and those will be highlighted further in the article. So without further ado, let us take a look at how this season is going to wrap up.
Baltimore Ravens @ Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore just got eliminated from the playoffs by their arch-rivals and Cincinnati is desperate for this lost season to come to an end. Neither team has anything to play for, neither are going for the playoffs, nor are they jostling for a high draft pick. Both of these teams are in a hellish middle ground that drives sports fans up the wall.
So what this game comes down to is coaching. Who will get their team better prepared and better motivated to finish the season strong. In that case I will take John Harbaugh over Marvin Lewis. I actually am a big fan of Lewis, but Harbaugh is simply better at getting his players to always play hard and play smart.
I like the Ravens to finish the season strong.
Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans
This game is very important to exactly one man: Tom Savage. Savage is not only trying to give his team momentum entering the playoffs, but he is also auditioning for a starting job next season. Brock Osweiler is obviously not the answer and the Texans are not about to sign another high-priced free agent at quarterback. So the Texans have two options: 1) draft a quarterback for the future, or 2) go all in with Savage. The problem is that Savage has yet to show any real leadership ability or offensive flare. The best that can be said is that he is competent.
Unfortunately, the Titans are in worse shape. Their entire offense is predicated on a strong run game supplemented by an accurate passer who minimizes mistakes. Neither of those two descriptors apply to Matt Cassel.
In the end this game will come down to defensive prowess and the Texans have the better defense.
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Cam Newton wants this season to end…desperately. I do not care who the Panthers’ face, a Cam Newton without motivation will not be winning many games; especially behind that awful offensive line.
To make matters worse, the Bucs actually do have something to play for. If the Bucs win and the Lions and Redskins lose, then they would make the playoffs as the last wildcard (if my playoff math is correct). But even without playoff implications, Tampa Bay made some great strides this year and the team as a whole will want to keep that momentum going no matter if it is to the playoffs or to next season.
I like the Buccaneers to take this one.
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers
So the Browns got a win. Makes the rest of the season kind of pointless doesn’t it? If you are going to suck that bad, then make history and be the worst ever. But leave it to the Browns to even screw that up. The Steelers do not have much to play for since they have locked up their spot in the postseason.
With all of that being said, Mike Tomlin has never been the type of coach to lay back. He is very aggressive, and in the words of Herm Edwards, plays to win the game. Because of that mentality the Steelers will win, since they are an infinitely better team at this point in time.
Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles
Yet another game with nothing to play for. The Cowboys have locked up the #1 seed along with the first round bye. The funny thing here is that even if the Cowboys decide to rest Dak Prescott, then that means Tony Romo will get the start. For the Eagles it is damned if you do and damned if you don’t.
I do not think Dallas will rest its guys, but even if they do, the Cowboys will still win.
Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets
Oh dear God, are they honestly allowing this game on TV? The Bills fired the brother Ryan and the Jets at this point in time may be the worst team in the league. The problem with the Jets is not talent or even coaching…it’s heart. It is a team full of individuals. There does not seem to be a unity of purpose and it becomes incumbent on the coach and GM to fix that problem.
The Bills’ problem is a much different one. They suffered a rash of injuries at the outset. Personally I felt that Rex Ryan deserved one more year (not Rob Ryan though). But be that as it may, both of these teams are entering the offseason with a lot of questions.
But as for this game, I will take heart over talent every time. Bills get one more feel good win.
Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings
A major battle between two majorly disappointing teams. The Vikings started 5-0 and then spiraled out of control as the lack of offensive line help and the absence of a run game sunk what was a promising season for Minnesota.
On the flip side, many in Chicago were looking forward to the team’s progression under John Fox. While very few realistically expected a deep playoff run, many were hoping for at least a winning season with momentum heading into the heart of this rebuild.
Obviously that did not come true for the Bears who with a loss, would complete the worst season in Chicago history for a 16-game schedule.
The Vikings have won games based on defense and special teams and this Bears team is completely incapable of countering either of those. Matt Barkley just threw 5 interceptions last week and the Bears’ special teams are amongst the worst in the league.
The Vikings should win this one walking away.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Indianapolis Colts
Do not let last week’s performance fool you…the Jaguars still sucks. Even a blind squirrel occasionally finds a nut and after four years Blake Bortles finally put together a decent 4th quarter. The sad thing is that even with the inspired play by Bortles, had Mariota not been injured the Jaguars still likely would have lost.
I would not be surprised to see Jacksonville take a quarterback in the 3rd or 4th round of the draft as an insurance policy. Indianapolis has not been very good either, but they at least have a reliable quarterback and in this game that is all they are going to need.
I like the Colts to get the W against the lowly Jags.
New England Patriots @ Miami Dolphins
Both teams have not only clinched a playoff spot, but both are locked into their positions as well. But here’s the rub: New England is notorious for resting starters. It was not that long ago that Bill Belichick started Doug Flutie in week 17 against the Dolphins and let Flutie do a drop kick.
Conversely, Adam Gase is changing the culture in Miami and is unlikely to rest anyone. I think Gase feels the team has momentum and wants to keep it going into the playoffs.
I expect the Dolphins to play hard and the Patriots to treat it like a preseason game; therefore I am picking the Dolphins to win this one.
Kansas City Chiefs @ San Diego Chargers
There is a lot at stake for the Chiefs here. If the Chiefs win and the Raiders lose, then the Chiefs will be the 2nd seed and get a first round bye. That is huge motivation, especially for a team that has some seasoned veterans on their defense. Kansas City will be fighting hard for that bye.
The Chargers technically have nothing to play for, however; it may be the last game they ever play in San Diego. While southern California is not known for the ferocity of their sports fandom, I have a feeling there will be a good crowd there to send this team off. Furthermore, Philip Rivers loves San Diego and was outspoken in his opposition to the team moving to L.A. and I have a feeling he will come out slinging.
It won’t matter though. I have said repeatedly that the Chiefs may be the most well-rounded team in the NFL and with the motivation to win that they have I can not imagine them losing here.
Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams
Are the Cardinals good enough to score points? Yes, they are? Then they are good enough to beat the worst offense in the league. The Rams offense is an absolute joke and the GM should be on the street right along with their former coach.
Cardinals win in what may be the last game of Larry Fitzgerald’s career.
Oakland Raiders @ Denver Broncos
The poor Raiders. They looked like a legitimate contender for the Super Bowl, until Derek Carr had his leg broken. Now their hopes land on the shoulder of either Matt McGloin or Connor Cook. It does not look good.
The Broncos’ offense has been terrible, but they are at home and they have that great defense.
I have no faith in that Raider offense without Carr and their defense is not good enough to win them games. I like the Broncos to win here and cost the Raiders that 1st round bye.
New York Giants @ Washington Redskins
The Giants are a better team and if they really want to make a push, then I think they would take this game. That being said, the Redskins can still make the playoffs and I have a feeling that the Giants will be conservative and sit some players, leaving it wide open for the Redskins.
Redskins sneak into the playoffs.
Seattle Seahawks @ San Francisco 49ers
The Seahawks should rest Russell Wilson and that bad wheel of his, but even if they do the 49ers are not a match for the Seahawks. San Francisco has been horrid this year. Despite the “brilliance” of Chip Kelly they have been one of the worst offenses in the NFL and make no mistake they will be looking for a new quarterback this offseason.
When the only splash you have made all season is your quarterback’s pregame ritual, then you have a lot of work to do. Seahawks win and ease into the playoffs.
New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons
The Falcons are competing for a bye and have the home field advantage. The Saints are playing for nothing. Drew Brees is a great competitor who will go out and do everything he can to win, but in the end he is leading a team without a defense and a head coach that is seemingly checked out.
The Falcons have been the best offense in the NFL all year long and they shouldn’t have much trouble against the Saints defense. Falcons win.
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lions
This is the game of the week. This game is practically win or go home. The winner is crowned NFC North Champion and the loser will likely be eliminated unless some other teams help them out.
Both of these teams have suspect defenses and are completely dependant on the play of their respective quarterbacks. Matthew Stafford has been incredible, constantly leading his team from behind in the final minutes of games. Whether it be throwing down field or lowering his head and taking on linebackers while running for the first down.
Aaron Rodgers’ accomplishments speak for themselves and over the Packers’ 5-game win streak there has not been a better quarterback in the NFL. This game should be a shootout and should be a great game.
Personally, I am rooting for the Lions, but I honestly think the Packers will win. You can’t bet against a team on a hot streak and there is no team hotter than the Green Bay Packers.
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